Arrows and Maxims

Hindu-Eroticism-03The less developed the country, the more overdeveloped the women (John Kenneth Galbraith).

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Almost is not even half (Dutch proverb).

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Man is the unfruitful animal (Friedrich Nietzsche).

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If all the world’s troubles could be put together in a heap and equitably distributed, most people would be quite happy to take their own and slink away.

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The harder you try to be like us, mesdames, the less we shall like you (Jean-Jacques Rousseau).

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Achieve much, make few waves; be more than you seem (Field Marshal Alfred von Schlieffen).

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When pilotless killer drones are put on flyby, will the spectators cheer?

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Yes, women are excluded; from whatever is hard, dirty, and dangerous.

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Realism is the idea that international peace can only be attained by taking into account players’ power and interests. And not on the basis of sentiment and daydreams; as Prince Metternich well understood.

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Historical events do not march in lockstep. Cause and consequence are often intertwined. That is why post hoc can sometimes be propter hoc.

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Life without a feast is like a road without an inn (ancient Geek proverb).

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When a Frenchman reminded a friend of mine that Germany had lost World War II, he answered: “yes, but not in six weeks!”

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Do you really want to insult your enemies? Easy. Forgive them their sins against you.

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Gender: a term feminists use to draw attention away from the fact that they have no penises.

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When people say “without a doubt,” usually what they mean is that there is no evidence.

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The Inquisition was meant to terrify everyone while also producing revenue. With the IRS, it is the other way around. But the principle is the same, as are many of the methods.

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A vicious cycle: The better the medical care one gets, the older one grows. The older one grows, the more medical care one needs. No wonder that, in all developed countries, medical spending is going through the roof.

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Search, and thou will find. “Experts” keep telling people how bad war is for the soul. No wonder many troops are struck down by PTSD (Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder); so much so that contracting it has almost become obligatory.

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A modern miracle. Four billion people—the UN says—do not have “adequate” access to water. But this does not prevent the global population from growing, nor global life-expectancy from rising.

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Frigidity: the ultimate weapon in the war between the sexes.

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Democracies breed pretty scoundrels, said Plato. What he forgot to say is that autocracies produce big ones.

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If it tastes good it must be bad for you.

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When revolutionary enthusiasm fades, all that is left behind is bureaucratic slime (Franz Kafka).

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An American female military pilot let me into the secret: “Sexual harassment is what I choose to report to my commander.”

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If environmentalists can be believed, God’s greatest mistake was to create man.

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A sexist: anyone who does not agree with feminist claims, however foolish they may be.

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The great advantage of democracy: one can throw out one bunch of scoundrels and bring in another. Keeps them halfway decent, or so we hope.

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Fashion: a kind of ugliness so bad that it has to be changed year by year.

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Feminism? The last hurray of Western civilization before it collapses.

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Five percent of the stuff the media publish about health and nutrition is true. Unfortunately it is impossible to say which five percent that is.

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He cut off his balls to spite his wife.

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Whether or not the Holocaust “really” took place is for historians to debate, not for politicians to legislate about.

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Can 1.3 billion Chinese be wrong? Yes, they can. And so can 100,000 feminist professors.

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A duchess behind her silk curtains does not provide more enjoyment than a milkmaid on her bed of hay (Napoleon).

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To be born is bad for your health. Living kills you.

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An elderly woman comes to the police and complains about having been raped thirty years before. “But why now?” asks the policeman “It’s nice to recall the experience,” she says.

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Daesh, at any rate, knows just what it wants. That is more than one can say of 90 percent of today’s democratic governments.

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A true woman told me: a man without body hair is like an egg without salt.

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Had all the world’s witty quotes been gathered, printed, and loaded aboard the Titanic, the ship would have sunk without any help from the iceberg.

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How can I like women and hate feminists? Simple: who said feminists are women? In truth, they are nature’s duds.

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When the going gets tough, feminists fall silent.

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Parents of adult children should keep their wallets open and their mouths shut.

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You cannot bath in the same river twice (Heraclites).

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Feminism means that women should put themselves first (Carrol Gilligan).

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Put whiskers on a dog, and that does not make it a cat. Put breasts on a man, and that does not make him a woman. Put a penis on a woman, and that does not make her a man.

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In no country is madness more prevalent than the US (Alexis de Tocqueville).

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There is only one way to make feminists shut up: with the banana. And how well do they know it!

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So and so many millions of people die each year because they smoked, we are told. Had they not smoked, wouldn’t they have died?

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I never regretted anything I did not say (Calvin Coolidge).

More Bull—-

“Surely it is obvious enough, if one looks at the whole world, that it is becoming daily better cultivated and more fully peopled than anciently… What most frequently meets our view and occasions complaint is our teeming population: our numbers are burdensome to the world, which can hardly supply us from its natural elements; our wants grow more and more keen, and our complaints more bitter in all mouths, whilst Nature fails in affording us her usual sustenance.”

Energy-Crisis1

Is this Al Gore’s acceptance speech of yet another award for saving the world? Wrong guess. Is this some other “environ” trying to make us feel guilty for existing? Wrong again. It is Quintus Septimius Florens Tertulianus, AKA Tertullian. He was a Christian author who flourished at the time of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius around 160 A.D. As best we can estimate, the number of humans on earth probably stood at about 200 million. That is approximately 4 percent of today’s figure. Paolo Malanima, a historian who specializes in ancient Roman technology, estimates that per capita consumption of energy was probably 15-20 percent of what it is now. Assuming the figures are more or less correct, the reader is invited to calculate by how much the total use of energy has increased since then.

Fast forward to 1880. At that time Britain was still the world’s largest manufacturing country, though the U.S and Germany were catching up. But how long could the mineral energy sources that had fueled the industrial revolution since the eighteenth century last? Enter William Thomson, AKA Lord Kelvin, one of the nineteenth century greatest scientists. No mere academic, he had a hand in almost every major technological enterprise from the laying of the trans-Atlantic telegraph cable down. Today he is remembered above all for formulating the first and second laws of thermodynamics. From his post at Glasgow he sounded a warning. “The subterranean coal-stores of the world,” he said, were “becoming exhausted.” As a result, the day was approaching when “little of [them] is left.” The answer, he thought, lay in windmills.

Since then, probably not a generation has passed when assorted experts did not claim that the resources of “spaceship earth”—as one author called it—were being depleted at a rapid pace and that, unless things changed, disaster was inevitable. Here I shall focus on the most-talked about single resource, i.e. oil. My guide in doing so is Daniel Yergin’s The Quest, an 820-page tome on the search for energy that got under way in earnest around 1880 and has lasted to the present day.

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The name John Davison Rockefeller (1839-1937) remains familiar to millions the world over as one of the richest people who ever lived. Not so that of his one-time partner John Dustin Archbold (1848-1916). In 1885, alarmed by a geologist’s warning that the flow of oil in Pennsylvania was but a “temporary and vanishing phenomenon,” he sold his Standard Oil shares at a discount. Not that he was ruined. He still remained a director of the company and sufficiently rich to donate $ 6,000,000 to the University of Syracuse. But it was not the same.

Lord (George Nathaniel) Curzon (1859-1925) was a highly successful British statesman who served first as viceroy of India and then as foreign secretary. In the latter capacity he drew the border between Poland and the Soviet Union named after him. Reflecting the common wisdom of the time, at the end of World War I he declared that “the Allied cause [had] floated to victory upon a wave of oil.” In fact it had been oil which, while only available to the Central Powers in very limited quantities, propelled Allied navies, armies, and air forces all over the world. As so often, dependence led to fear. “There seem[s] to be,” said President Wilson at almost exactly the same time, “no method by which we [can] assure ourselves of the necessary supply at home and abroad.”

A similar warning was sounded by Marion King Hubbert (1903-1989). One of the most preeminent earth-scientists of his time, in 1956 Hubbert shook the world with his idea of “peak oil.” Its subsequent career may be judged from the fact that it has almost three million hits on Google.com. Peak oil, Hubbert explained, meant that American oil production would peak between about 1965 and 1970. At that point it would start declining without anybody being able to do anything about the matter. Totally wrong. In 2012 U.S production was four times greater than Hubbert thought it could be. In his favor it must be said that he also pioneered another concept, “hydraulic fracturing,” which formed part of the title of a seminal paper he wrote in 1957. It was partly the development of this technique that has led to the decline in the price of oil over the last few years.

Since then we have gone through two more scares, one—probably the best known of all—during the 1970s and one in 2008-12. Each time prices, driven by tremendous demand as well as sheer speculation, rose to what had previously been considered unimaginable heights. Each time, as the representatives of OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Producing Countries) met in Vienna, the world shuddered in anticipation of their fateful decisions.

I am old enough to remember a lecture, held soon after the October 1973 Arab-Israeli War. The speaker, a highly-respected Israeli economist, assured his listeners that it was not all our, meaning Israel’s, fault. Even if the number of barrels being produced each day were doubled, he said, a shortage would prevail and prices would continue to go up. It took a few years, but he proved to be totally wrong. During this cycle, as during all previous and subsequent ones, a combination of new extraction technologies, conservation and substitution brought about a glut followed by a price collapse.

And—this is the real point of the story—driven by low prices, lack of investment, and growing demand, each time the price recovered.