The Strange Case of Versailles

The Treaty of Versailles, the hundredth anniversary of which will be remembered in June of this year, has attracted more than its share of historical debate. What has not been said and written about it? That it did not go far enough, given that Germany lost only a relatively small part of its territory and population and was allowed to continue to exist as a unified state under a single government (French Prime Minister Georges Clemenceau). That it went much too far, thus helping lay the foundations of World War II. That it imposed a “Carthaginian Peace” (the British economist John Maynard Keynes in his 1919 best-seller, The Economic Consequences of the Peace). That it was “made in order to bring twenty million Germans to their deaths, and to ruin the German nation” (according to a speech delivered in Munich on 13 April 1923 by a thirty-four year old demagogue named Adolf Hitler). All these views, and quite some others, started being thrown about almost as soon as the ink on the Treaty had dried. In one way or another, all of them are still being discussed in the literature right down to the present day.

But what was there about the Treaty that was so special? Was it really as original, as unique, as has so often been maintained? Was the brouhaha it gave rise to justified? By way of obtaining an answer to this seldom-asked question, consider the following.

*

First, the transfer of territory. Throughout human history, control over territory and the population it contained has been one of the most important issues, often the most important issue, over which first tribes, then kingdoms, and finally states went to war against each other. Furthermore, right down to modern times war itself was seen as a normal method whereby rulers either gained territory or were forced to give it up. When the Allies, in 1918, deprived Germany of its colonies; when they detached Alsace Lorraine and gave them back to France; when they took away much of West Prussia and handed it to Poland; when they did the same in Silesia; when, having held a plebiscite, they gave northern Schleswig to Denmark; when they took away the Saar for a period of fifteen years; and when they gave Memel to Lithuania—in all these cases, they were doing little more than what rulers had always done. And as the Germans themselves had done, on a vastly larger scale, by the Diktat that was the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk they forced on the Bolsheviks just fifteen months earlier. The one that made General Max Hoffmann, Ludendorff’s deputy, say that the only question regarding the Russians was which sauce they would be eaten with.

Second, disarmament. Some of the best-known articles in the Treaty sought to limit Germany’s armed forces. Conscription, which was introduced at the time of the French Revolution and had since become the preferred way by which most of the world’s armed forces obtained the cannon fodder they needed, was abolished. The army, which at peak had numbered about five million men (no women, incidentally, to share in the joys of the trenches) was limited to just 100,000 organized into seven light infantry divisions. Heavy warships, submarines, military aircraft, tanks, heavy artillery and gas were all prohibited; existing stocks were handed over or dismantled, and fairly successful attempts to prevent them from being rebuilt undertaken. The General Staff, which starting in the wars of 1866-71 was widely seen as one of the principal pillars of Germany’s military power, was closed down. So, finally, were the famous Kadetanstalten where many aspiring young officers were put through their paces. Under the Weimar Republic, so weak was the Reichswehr that, as a 1929 wargame showed, it was unable to stop a Polish invasion of East Prussia, Had Warsaw wanted too, its troops might perhaps have marched all the way to Berlin.

Yet in this respect, too, there were precedents. The one most familiar to many Germans is Napoleon’s 1808 decision to reduce the Prussian army by about four fifths, leaving just 42,000 men under arms. The prohibition remained in effect for some five years and only came to an end when the Wars of Liberation broke out in 1813. An even better case in point is the Peace of Apamea. Apamea was a Hellenistic city in today’s western Asia Minor. In 188 BCE it witnessed the negotiations between Rome and its defeated enemy, King Antiochus III of Syria. Territorial losses apart, Antiochus was obliged to surrender all the war elephants in his possession and undertake not to raise or purchase new ones. His navy was limited to just twelve warships—to give the reader an idea of what this meant, Athens during the days of its greatness some three centuries previously had maintained no fewer than four hundred—although this number might be increased in case he came under attack.

What is probably the oldest example of forced disarmament may be found in the Bible (1. Samuel 13.19-22). “Now there was,” we are told, “no blacksmith to be found throughout all the land of Israel, for the Philistines said, ‘Lest the Hebrews make swords or spears.’ But all the Israelites would go down to the Philistines to sharpen each man’s plowshare, his mattock, his ax, and his sickle;  and the charge for a sharpening was two thirds of one shekel for the plowshares, the mattocks, the forks, and the axes, and to set the points of the goads.  So it came about, on the day of battle, that there was neither sword nor spear found in the hand of any of the people who were with Saul and Jonathan. But they were found with Saul and Jonathan his son.” Does this remind anyone of President Trump’s attempt to limit the ability of Iran and North Korea to develop nuclear weapons and their delivery vehicles?

Third, demilitarization. By the articles of the Treaty of Versailles, Germany was obliged to withdraw all its forces from the lands west of the Rhine and refrain from trying to fortify them. Here, too, there were plenty of precedents. Probably the best-known one is Athens’ Long Walls. Built by Pericles as part of the preparations for the Peloponnesian War against Sparta, they linked the city with the port of Piraeus, thus rendering it immune to a siege. In 404-3 BCE, following Athens’ defeat, they were dismantled.

This was hardly the only case of this kind. In 1714 the British forced Louis XIV to demolish his naval base at Dunkirk so that it could no longer be used for either military or civilian purposes. In 1738, in the aftermath of a war that had lasted for some two years, Holy Roman Emperor Karl V undertook to demolish the fortresses of Belgrade and Šabac as the price for peace with the Ottomans. In 1856, following the Crimean War, Article XI of the Treaty of Paris obliged the Tsar to refrain from establishing any naval or military arsenal on the Black Sea coast. As one might expect, none of these agreements lasted for very long, a fact that also applies to all the others discussed in the present article.
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Fourth, compensation. As part of the settlement, Germany was supposed to pay its former enemies 132 billion gold marks (present-day value, about 400 billion Euro). This reminded people of 1870-71 when Bismarck made the French pay an indemnity of five billion gold francs. To return to Antiochus, on top of all his other concessions he was made to pay the huge sum of 15,000 talents—about 450,000 kilograms—in bullion. Of those, 500 had to be paid immediately; 2,500, upon the Roman Senate’s ratification of the Treaty; and the remaining 12,000 in twelve annual instalments of l,000 talents each. Unfortunately Appian, the ancient historian who is our source for this story, does not say whether the payments were to be made in silver or in gold. If in the former, then we are talking about 2 billion Euro or so; if in the latter, no less than 16 billion. Since then over two millennia have passed; as they say, though, nothing new under the sun.

Finally, the question of war guilt (or rather, responsibility; contrary to what most people believe, the word “guilt” was not written into the Treaty). If there is anything on which subsequent historians agree, it is that no other clause was so strongly resented by Germany’s leadership and people alike. Yet, paradoxically, the reason why this particular article (No. 231) was inserted at all was in order to get the French and Belgians to agree to reduce the sum of money Germany would have to hand over. In other words, the English and American delegations saw the article as the price they had to pay in order to make their allies sign. The objective was to reduce the financial burden on Germany, not to make it heavier still. Apparently they had no idea either how offensive it was or of the way it would later be exploited by German nationalist, including National Socialist, propaganda.

The man most responsible for the article was none other than John Foster Dulles. Born in 1888, at that time he was a junior diplomat and legal counsel to the U.S delegation. Later he became Secretary of State under President Eisenhower (1953-61) and, as such, the most important Western Cold Warrior of all. Today he has one of Washington DC’s airports named after him. Where he got the idea remains unknown. As best I have been able to find out, no similar clause had been included in any previous peace treaty, ancient or modern. That, however, does not mean that guilt was not assigned. To the contrary: throughout history Thucydides’ dictum that the strong take what they want and the weak suffer what they must was very much in force. When the First Gulf War was brought to an end in 1991 those who had fought Saddam took it for granted that he was guilty—“responsible,” as the phrase goes—of initiating the conflict even though no explicit statement to that effect appeared in any of the relevant documents.

Explicitly or tacitly, war-guilt was used as the justification for the way the victors treated the losers. The best the latter could expect was to be robbed of much, if not all, their possessions; the worst, to be taken captive, enslaved, and/or massacred. Very often resistance itself was understood as a crime. As, for example, when Timur put to death the populations of cities that refused to surrender and had towers built of their skulls; and when the Duke of Alba had the garrisons of captured Dutch cities killed en masse. Not surprisingly, the same applied to leaders. Particularly famous in this respect was the Roman triumph, at the end of which the enemy’s captured leaders were thrown down the Tarpeian Rock; among those who suffered that fate were the leaders of the Jewish Revolt of 67-70 CE. Many other victorious societies also executed their defeated enemy’s leaders, often in public and often in a variety of interesting ways. As, to return to the Bible, Joshua did to the kings of Canaanite cities he had captured and the prophet Samuel to the Amalekite King Agag.

*

To sum up, it was as contemporaries used to say: the Treaty of Versailles left Germany Heerloss, Wehrloss, and Ehrloss. Nevertheless, the more closely one looks at it the clearer it becomes that there was nothing very special about it. Not only had many previous treaties been quite as severe, but practically every one of its clauses had numerous precedents. The only important exception was the one concerning war guilt. Congratulations, David Lloyd-George, congratulations, Woodrow Wilson, congratulations, John Foster Dulles; judging by its origins, this may indeed be a case of the road to hell being paved with good intentions. Yet even in this respect the Treaty did not so much introduce an innovation as put a formal gloss on what, through much of history, had been taken very much for granted.

This raises the question, why did the Treaty acquire the bad name it did, not only in Germany but abroad too? And what was its real contribution to the failure of the Weimar Republic, the ascent of National Socialism, and the outbreak of World War II? Was it a cause, or merely a pretext? If the latter, then what were the real causes?

A hundred years later, the answers are still blowing in the wind.

Smug

H. Rosling, Factfulness: Ten Reasons We’re Wrong about the World and Why Things Are Better Than You Think, Kindle edition, 2018.

The author, a Swedish physician, was born in 1948 and died in 2017 (the book, as we have it now, was completed by his son and daughter in law but is written in first person throughout). From A to Z, his declared purpose is to show that the world is a much better place than most people, living in ignorance as they do, believe it to be. Better in respect to global warming which, though it constitutes a real threat, has been deliberately exaggerated by people like Al Gore. Better in respect to poverty, which is in the process of being alleviated if not eliminated. Better in respect to the economic progress that the poorest countries are making. Better in respect to women’s education and rights in general. Better in respect to health, our ability to combat disease, and life expectancy. Better in respect to the problem of at least some endangered species. Better in respect to what others have called “the population bomb.” Better in respect to almost everything under the sun that can be quantified and expressed in statistical terms.

All this, of course, is perfectly legit. The difficulty is the way in which it is presented, which makes this book into one of the suggested books it has ever been my misfortune to read. Not limited to the content, the smugness extends to the research methods Rosling and his associates use in order to reach these conclusions. Not that they are terribly difficult to understand—not once in the entire volume is there any evidence of statistical tools more sophisticated than simple percentages going up or down over time. If his figures are better than those of others, Rosling keeps assuring his readers, then that is because of the unique approach he has adopted. As by making a habit of sticking to what he calls “factfulness.” As by always remaining cool and objective, never allowing either hope or fear to influence his research. As by never crying wolf. As by never being in a hurry to reach conclusions. As by never trusting a single number but always examining them in relation to others pertaining to the same problem. As by avoiding extremes. And a plethora of similar home-made remedies that keep appearing, often repeatedly so, on almost every page in the book.

In generic tadalafil from india case of men, it will help men to get rid of weak ejaculation problem. The doctors then use the high-tech magnifying glasses to monitor and carry out the treatment of Kamagra Jelly is to keep it in mouth 20 to 30 minutes in advance to get the penile become tough and inflexible to perform sex with sildenafil delivery the partner. Along these lines, he may depend on ED drugs accessible in purchasing viagra in canada the business sector. Thus, the facial features can get the best medicine side effects of levitra for their kind of disorder. Smug he is in intimating his unique ability to read theory out of the available data. And in dismissing other thinkers, even including Aristotle who, the way Rosling presents him, is made to look like a complete idiot. Most insufferable of all is the praise Rosling keeps heaping on himself. Starting out as a physician, he explains, he has made himself into a sort of global guru as well as an entrepreneur. He cannot stop boasting the immense number of people throughout the world he has helped save from all kinds of nasty diseases from Ebola down. Of the numerous times he has lectured in front of, or associated with, heads of states, top officials, Noble Prize winners, businessmen, and similar hohe Tiere (German: high-ranking animals). Of the TED talks he has given. Of the private aircraft he has flown. Of the fancy hotels in which, sometimes enjoying sheets made of real silk, he has stayed. Of the exotic places he has visited, the difficulties he had to face in reaching them, and the strange foods he dared eat once those difficulties had been overcome. Of almost everything he has ever done or at least tried to do.

To be sure, here and there he admits having made a mistake. As, for example, when the governor of Ngala, Nigeria, took his medical advice and, to prevent the spread of a dread disease, quarantined a certain town. By forcing the inhabitants to take to the sea in order to subvert the quarantine and sell their wares nevertheless, Rosling explains, he made himself indirectly responsible for the drowning of some of them. There are a few more such episodes; yet even in their case the impression one gets is that the author’s main purpose is to intimate what a wonderful, sensitive, and open minded person he is.

Factfulness, I understand, is a “global bestseller.” On Amazon.com it got 858 reviews, no less. It even got recommendations (separate ones) from Rosling’s great fellow philanthropists, Bill and Melinda Gates. I myself took it up because I hoped it would provide me with some data about the world all of us inhabit. I cannot say I was disappointed in this respect. The data are there and can be scrutinized by anyone who is interested in them; in the author’s favor I must say that the notes, which explain how they were worked, out are among the most exhaustive I have ever seen.

All in all, though, the German phrase applies: selbstlob stinkt (self-praise stinks).

When the Women Come Marching In

There used to be a day when every day had a saint of its own. Since there were many more saints than days on the calendar, some of them had to share the same day: not just All Saints’ Day (aka Halloween, which is celebrated on 1 November); but Saints Marian and James (6 May), Saint Cristobal and Companions (21 May), Solemnity of Saints Peter and Paul (29 May). Saints John Jones and John Wall (12 July). And others. Today, the place of sainthood has been taken by up the term “international.” International Wildlife Day (3 January). International Earth Day (22 April). International Education Day (24 January). International Holocaust Victim Commemoration Day (27 January). And International Women’s Day ((8 March), of course. It is about the last of these that it pleases me to write today.

In its present form, International Women’s Day was created by the United Nations back in 1975. By that time, though, it had a long and colorful history. Starting from about 1850 on the strongest voices in favor of women’s equality came from the Left, i.e. the Communists and the Socialists (the two only split into opposing, often hostile, camps during the 1890s). Among them again, by far the most important figure was that of August Bebel. Born in 1840, the son of a Prussian NCO, in the late 1860s Bebel became one of the founders of the German Social Democratic Party which still exists. In 1879 he published Die Frau und der Sozialismus (translated as Women under Socialism). It quickly grew into the most authoritative text on the topic and was translated into dozens of languages. So popular did it become that young working-class grooms sometimes gave it as a marriage-present to their brides! Following the Russian Revolution it was used by the Bolsheviks, including Lenin’s wife Nadezha Krupskaya and Stalin’s reputed Mistress Alexandra Kolontay, as a platform on which to base their own reforms of everything pertaining to women’s status in society.

The first time woman’s day was celebrated was on 28 February 1910. Contrary to what one might have thought, the organization responsible was not the suffragette movement but the Socialist Party of America, The objective of its leaders, who like their German colleagues were almost entirely male, was to cater to the members of the fair sex and draw them to their side. Following the Russian Revolution, which made Russia one of the first countries to give women the vote, the Bolsheviks changed the date to 8 March and turned it into a national event. Other countries followed.

Fake-sainthood did, not, however, solve any of the main problems of women and feminism. Now as ever, they are as follows:

  1. The physical and physiological differences between men and women remain exactly as they have always been. This elementary fact, which none but a few crazy feminists can deny, goes a considerable way to determine women’s psychology, their role in society, their relations with men, the kinds of work most of them can and cannot do, etc. etc.
  2. Now as ever, women give birth whereas men do not. World-wide, about nine out of every ten women will give birth at least once during their lives. Once again, this elementary fact goes a long way to determine women’s psychology, their role in society, their relations with men, the kinds of work most of them can and cannot do, etc. etc.
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  4. Now as ever, much of the work people do is divided by sex. Even in egalitarian countries such as Sweden almost all nurses and elementary schoolteachers are female, almost all loggers male. Generally the more numerous the women in any particular field or profession, the lower its prestige in the eyes of both men and women.
  5. Now as ever, Margaret Mead’s dictum that humans are the only species whose male members feed the female ones during much of their lives remains in force. Now as ever men on the average make more than women, and by a considerable margin. Marriages in which this is not the case, and in which the woman makes more than her husband does, are particularly likely to break up.
  6. Now as ever, most women marry men who are older than themselves. Now as ever, the higher one climbs on the slipper pole of fame, riches and power the fewer women one meets. Now as ever, the woman with the biggest breasts gets the man with the deepest pockets.
  7. Now as ever, very few women come up with something really new. For whatever reason, it is always women who try to imitate men, seldom the other way around. For a woman to be considered as good as a man is a compliment; for a man to be considered “only” as good as a woman, a humiliation. The same even applies to the names by which people are called. As with August and Augustine, Carol and Caroline, and so on. Given these facts, which apply to all known societies at all times and places, it seems that the whole of modern feminism, trying to reach for “equality” as it does, amounts to little more than a gigantic case of penis envy.
  8. Now as ever, in spite of the allegedly growing presence of women in some military, no woman has ever been made to fight against her will. Two millennia ago that applied to ancient Rome where what few female gladiators appeared in the arena were volunteers. Today it applies to the handful of countries, such as Israel, where women are conscripted.
  9. Now as ever, women get far more—about two thirds—of their share of economic aid of every kind. The same applies to medical and psychological treatments. Now as ever, men are considered more dangerous than women. With the result that the justice apparatus treats women much more leniently than it does men even when people of both sexes commit the same crimes.
  10. Now as ever women, being the weaker sex, physically, are more likely than men to get their way by nagging, complaining, weeping, and exposing themselves. Now as ever, nagging and complaining—both of which are Me#too specialties—weeping, and exposing oneself are signs of weakness, not strength.

Welcome, the next celebration of International Women’s Day.

Gone Are Those Locks

Recently I have been reading the Roman writer Gaius Petronius (ca. 27 CE—66 CE). Of him the historian Tacitus says that “he spent his days in sleep, his nights in attending to his official duties or in amusement. By his dissolute life he had become as famous as other men by a life of energy, so that he was regarded as no ordinary profligate, but as an accomplished voluptuary. His reckless freedom of speech, being regarded as frankness, procured him popularity. Yet during his provincial government, and later when he held the office of consul, he had shown vigor and capacity for affairs. Later he returned to his life of vicious indulgence, became one of the chosen circle of Nero’s intimates, and was looked upon as an absolute authority on questions of taste [elegantiae arbiter] in connection with the science of luxurious living.” The kind of adviser on culture and fashion prominent politicians who want to look well on TV often maintain to the present day.

Like so many others Petronius was accused of treason, perhaps because the emperor had designs on his wealth. Thereupon he ended his life, committing suicide by first opening his veins, then binding them, then opening them again. At that time and place it was a common method meant to provide the dying man with a little time in which to convey his last message from beyond the grave, so to speak. Like Socrates before him, to the end he acted out his chosen role. Showing no fear but conversing with friends and breaking his signature seal so it could not be used to implicate others.

He left behind the Satyricon, perhaps best described as a collection of sketches on the degenerate social life led by the “high society” of the day. A life which involved endless partying, unimaginably rich eating and drinking (including a chef who would “make you a fish out of a sow’s coynte”), and the telling of stories, the more scurrilous the better. And plenty of sex with both lads and lasses, of course.

Over the last two millennia any number of artists, from writers to dramatists to film-directors, have drawn on Petronius for inspiration. Follow a handful of his verses, in the hope they will please you as much as, as I am starting the seventy-third year of my life, they pleased me.

Gone are those locks that to thy

Beauty lent such lustrous charm

And blighted are the locks of spring

By bitter winter’s sway;

Thy naked temples now in baldness

Mourn their vanished form,

And glistens now that poor bare

Crown, its hair all worn away

Oh! faithless inconsistency! The

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Gods must first resume

The charms that first they granted

Youth, that it might lovelier bloom!

Poor wretch but late thy locks did

brighter glister

Than those of great Apollo or his sister!

Now, smoother is they crown than

Polished grasses

Or rounded mushrooms when a

shower passes!

In fear thou fliest the laughter-loving

lasses

That thou may’st know that death is

On his way, know that thy head is partly

Dead this day!